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Smith A O Corp (AOS) stock analysis

AOSNYSEHousehold AppliancesFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 29, 2026Score 22/3024% below fair value
$64.24+0.26 (+0.41%)

Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $8.63BP/E 17.9Yield 2.15%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works

Value5Growth2Performance6Health5Dividend4

Strong22 of 30 checks passed

Smith A O passes 22 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
5/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
5/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 23.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $64.24 is below our fair value estimate of $84.16.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 27.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 25.7% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 25.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

What to watch

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 0.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -6.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 9.6% a year.

  • Guidance lowered

    Smith A O lowered its 2026 Outlook Net sales outlook on Jul 30, 2026.

  • P/B above the industry

    Smith A O's price-to-book of 4.73 is above the Electronic and Other Electrical Equipment and Components, except Computer Equipment median of 2.90.

Valuation5/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Smith A O's P/E of 17.9 is below its own 5-year median of 19.8.

  • P/E below the industry

    Smith A O's P/E of 17.9 is below the Electronic and Other Electrical Equipment and Components, except Computer Equipment median of 31.8.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Smith A O's EV/EBITDA of 11.9 is below its 5-year median of 13.4.

  • P/B above the industry

    Smith A O's price-to-book of 4.73 is above the Electronic and Other Electrical Equipment and Components, except Computer Equipment median of 2.90.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $64.24 is below our fair value estimate of $84.16.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 23.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 0.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 36.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -6.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 9.6% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -0.7% over the last twelve months; the Electronic and Other Electrical Equipment and Components, except Computer Equipment median is -0.2%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Smith A O lowered its 2026 Outlook Net sales outlook on Jul 30, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 38.6% over the last twelve months, against 38.5% a year earlier.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 27.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 25.7% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 25.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Smith A O's return on equity of 27.0% is above the Electronic and Other Electrical Equipment and Components, except Computer Equipment median of -3.3%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 9.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 13.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 12.5%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Smith A O's net margin of 13.0% is above the Electronic and Other Electrical Equipment and Components, except Computer Equipment median of -3.1%.

Financial health5/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 36.9% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 6.1% five years ago to 36.9%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 91.0% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 26.3 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.64 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 6.25; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Smith A O paid dividends worth 1.7% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.7% yield is below the 4.7% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Smith A O yields 1.7%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 40.3% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 35.5% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$84.16

The share price is 24% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$64.24Price$84.16Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E25.8×19.8×31.8×$92.6144%
EV/EBITDA16.8×13.4×20.2×$91.6839%
Earnings power9.3% cost of equity––$44.1017%
Fair value$84.16100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 19.8
  • Electronic and Other Electrical Equipment and Components, except Computer Equipment median 31.8

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$105.03M
Value traded per 1% price move
$73.50M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
17.1%
Volatility (annualized)
28%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.28
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.83

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

38.8%+0.6 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

19.0%+1.6 pts over 5 years

Net margin

14.3%+2.3 pts over 5 years

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