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Argan Inc (AGX) stock analysis

AGXNYSEConstruction - Special Trade ContractorsFiscal year ends January 31
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jul 31, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Sep 2, 2026Score 20/3025% above fair value
$322.00+17.60 (+5.78%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $4.52BP/E 25.5Yield 0.54%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth5Performance6Health6Dividend3

Solid20 of 30 checks passed

Argan passes 20 of the 30 checks behind our score; 1 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
5/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
6/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 39.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 18.9% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 396%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • No debt

    Argan has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 42.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 24.6% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $322.00 is above our fair value estimate of $258.51.

  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Argan's P/E of 25.5 is above its own 5-year median of 25.4.

  • P/E above the industry

    Argan's P/E of 25.5 is above the Construction Special Trade Contractors median of 25.1.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Argan's P/E of 25.5 is above its own 5-year median of 25.4.

  • P/E above the industry

    Argan's P/E of 25.5 is above the Construction Special Trade Contractors median of 25.1.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Argan's EV/EBITDA of 21.8 is above its 5-year median of 15.2.

  • P/B above the industry

    Argan's price-to-book of 8.91 is above the Construction Special Trade Contractors median of 1.66.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $322.00 is above our fair value estimate of $258.51.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 24.6% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth5/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 27.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 61.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 53.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 42.0% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 29.0% over the last twelve months; the Construction Special Trade Contractors median is 8.0%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 20.9% over the last twelve months, against 18.8% a year earlier.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 39.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 18.9% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 396%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Argan's return on equity of 39.8% is above the Construction Special Trade Contractors median of -16.7%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 42.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 15.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 9.0%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Argan's net margin of 15.1% is above the Construction Special Trade Contractors median of -7.9%.

Financial health6/6
  • No debt

    Argan has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Debt not rising

    With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.50 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 5.18; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Argan paid dividends worth 0.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.5% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Argan yields 0.5%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 15.6% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 5.1% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$258.51

The share price is 25% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$322.00Price$258.51Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E25.2×25.4×25.1×$319.0744%
EV/EBITDA14.1×15.2×13.0×$222.6739%
Earnings power9.0% cost of equity––$180.6317%
Fair value$258.51100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 25.4
  • Construction Special Trade Contractors median 25.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$109.85M
Value traded per 1% price move
$38.42M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
32.8%
Volatility (annualized)
80%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.11
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.83

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

20.5%+4.7 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

14.3%+8.4 pts over 5 years

Net margin

14.6%+8.5 pts over 5 years

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