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Adeia Inc. (ADEA) stock analysis

ADEANasdaqCable & Other Pay Television ServicesFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 17/303% below fair value
$17.13+0.88 (+5.38%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $1.89BP/E 16.8Yield 1.17%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth3Performance4Health4Dividend3

Solid17 of 30 checks passed

Adeia passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score; 2 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $17.13 is below our fair value estimate of $17.69.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 18.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 58.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -5.4% a year.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 5.2 times.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 3.2% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 25.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 4.6% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • High debt

    Debt is 78.9% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 5.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Adeia's P/E of 16.8 is below its own 5-year median of 23.0.

  • P/E above the industry

    Adeia's P/E of 16.8 is above the Communications median of 14.4.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Adeia's EV/EBITDA of 12.0 is below its 5-year median of 13.7.

  • P/B above the industry

    Adeia's price-to-book of 3.91 is above the Communications median of 1.60.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $17.13 is below our fair value estimate of $17.69.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 3.2% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 0.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 58.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -5.4% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 22.1% over the last twelve months; the Communications median is -0.2%.

  • Guidance raised

    Adeia raised its full year 2026 Net income outlook on Nov 2, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 25.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 4.6% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 18.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Adeia's return on equity of 25.9% is above the Communications median of 1.1%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 5.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 25.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -4.4%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Adeia's net margin of 25.0% is above the Communications median of -2.6%.

Financial health4/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 78.9% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 57.6% five years ago to 78.9%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 46.8% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 5.2 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 3.64 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.63; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Adeia paid dividends worth 1.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Adeia yields 1.2%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 8 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 18.9% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 12.5% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$17.69

The share price is 3% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$17.13Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E18.7×23.0×14.4×$19.1244%
EV/EBITDA11.8×13.7×9.7×$16.6739%
Earnings power9.6% cost of equity––$16.2217%
Fair value$17.69100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 23.0
  • Communications median 14.4

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$30.42M
Value traded per 1% price move
$9.43M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
28.0%
Volatility (annualized)
68%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.24
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.95

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2017 to 2025

Gross margin

–

Operating margin

39.5%−12.4 pts over 5 years

Net margin

25.1%−3.4 pts over 5 years

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